The topical report by the “National Intelligence Estimate” (a union of 16 US Secret Services) about the Iranian nuclear program contradicts the present assertion of the US government, Iran would stand shortly before the atom bomb. Now instead of this it becomes public by this Secret Service Report that Teheran has finished his nuclear weapon program already four years ago.

Basically this report is to be estimated as a “welcome way out” from a menace scenario, which the Bush government had built up during the last years. Because it would not be possible for the US during the mission in Iraq to march into Iran at the moment, the new Iran report of the US Secret Services was the most elegant way to appear not as a toothless “paper tiger”.

A few weeks ago, Bush had aggravated his rhetoric in the conflict about the Iranian nuclear program and had spoken of the ” third world war “. However, in the moment an Iran intervention is not on the agenda. Have the neoconservatives suffered a defeat now, or was this only a tactical retreat? Who are these Neocons, which have won so big influence on the US policy during the last years?

The Neocons are known in the US as the most sharp advocates of military conflict solutions and an interventionistic unilateralism. With this the US supremacy should be protected all over the world. International organisations, like UN, should be either removed, or, however, these organisations have to be converted according to US-American images.

One of the leading theorists of the neoconservative view is the philosopher Leo Strauss. During the government of George W. Bush the Neocons like Condoleezza Rice, Paul Wolfowitz, Newt Gingrich, Donald Rumsfeld and vice-president Dick Cheney achieved a great influence on the American foreign affairs. The influence on the American policy is supported by mighty Think tanks like the “Projekt for the New American Century” (PNAC).

Decisive for neoconservative images is the strict division of the world in a ” Good and Bad”. Neoconservatives divide the world into a “coalition of the willing” and the “axis of evil”. This goes up there to evangelical stamped images, the end of the world history would could be caused by a big 4-th world war and this war would cause a struggle between the powers of the good and the bad. In this perception a “clash of cultures ” is only an almost expected and inevitable event.

The question is if with the end of the Bush government also the present unilateralistic policy will be changed into a more realistic and more cooperative policy with the EU and UN? Is this Secret Service report already the beginning of changing the US foreign affairs? Are those people in the right, who are saying: ” The Neocons are at the end. They have failed. ” Or will their protagonists further assert themselves, like Podhoretz, who says: ” I hope and pray that we bomb Iran “.